NFL Props: 50.8% Win Rate

Propeller NFL picks went 31501-30496 (50.8%) for the week of Oct 19-Oct 25. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

50.8%
Win Rate
31501-30496
Record
62,017
Props Graded

Propeller NFL analysis had a modest week, finishing 31501-30496 (50.8%) across 62017 graded props for the week of Oct 19-Oct 25. Our 60-69% confidence tier led the way at 58.2% (2838-2041). Player Pass Completions props were the strongest category at 67.3%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
60-69% 2838 2041 4879 58.2%
50-59% 28663 28455 57118 50.2%

The 60-69% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 58.2% on 4879 props.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Rec Yds 9350 9349 18699 50.0%
Receptions 5623 5445 11068 50.8%
Rush Yds 3943 4475 8418 46.8%
Player Reception Yds 2712 3055 5767 47.0%
Player Receptions 2131 2160 4291 49.7%
Pass Yds 2429 1552 3981 61.0%
Player Rush Yds 1502 1409 2911 51.6%
Pass Completions 1399 715 2114 66.2%
Player Pass Yds 926 781 1707 54.2%
Interceptions 491 735 1226 40.0%
Player Pass Completions 565 274 839 67.3%
Player Interceptions 325 428 753 43.2%
Rush Rec Yds 105 118 223 47.1%

Player Pass Completions was our best-performing stat type at 67.3% (565-274). Pass Completions followed at 66.2%. Interceptions was the weakest at 40.0% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Drake Maye
Pass Yds OVER 249.5 (Actual: 321.0)
64%
#2
Drake Maye
Pass Yds OVER 259.5 (Actual: 321.0)
64%
#3
Drake Maye
Pass Yds OVER 254.5 (Actual: 321.0)
64%
#4
Drake Maye
Pass Yds OVER 247.5 (Actual: 321.0)
64%
#5
Drake Maye
Pass Yds OVER 214.5 (Actual: 321.0)
64%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Michael Penix Jr.
Rush Yds OVER 1.5 (Actual: -1.0)
64%
#2
Michael Penix Jr.
Pass Yds OVER 228.5 (Actual: 213.0)
64%
#3
Geno Smith
Player Pass Yds UNDER 220.5 (Actual: 287.0)
63%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

50.4%
Win Rate
189954-187231
Record
378,126
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 50.8% outpaced our season average of 50.4%, continuing a positive trend. Our NFL model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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