MLB Props: 63.3% Win Rate

Propeller MLB picks went 2168-1257 (63.3%) for the week of Oct 19-Oct 25. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

63.3%
Win Rate
2168-1257
Record
3,425
Props Graded

Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 2168-1257 (63.3%) across 3425 graded props for the week of Oct 19-Oct 25. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 100.0% (7-0). Doubles props were the strongest category at 84.7%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 7 0 7 100.0%
70-79% 538 136 674 79.8%
60-69% 756 495 1251 60.4%
50-59% 867 626 1493 58.1%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 100.0% on 7 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Hits 308 137 445 69.2%
Runs 261 179 440 59.3%
Singles 228 201 429 53.1%
Walks 251 168 419 59.9%
RBIs 235 127 362 64.9%
Hits+Runs+RBIs 246 102 348 70.7%
Total Bases 174 157 331 52.6%
Doubles 266 48 314 84.7%
Stolen Bases 131 43 174 75.3%
Strikeouts Pitcher 1 46 47 2.1%
Hits Allowed 21 19 40 52.5%
Earned Runs 18 20 38 47.4%
Walks Pitcher 28 10 38 73.7%

Doubles was our best-performing stat type at 84.7% (266-48). Stolen Bases followed at 75.3%. Strikeouts Pitcher was the weakest at 2.1% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Taylor Walls
RBIs UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Christian Yelich
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
79%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

67.4%
Win Rate
2185725-1058581
Record
3,244,404
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 63.3% dipped below our 67.4% season average, but single-week variance is normal across 3425 props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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