NBA Props: 47.5% Win Rate

Propeller NBA picks went 1124-1241 (47.5%) for the week of Oct 19-Oct 25. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

47.5%
Win Rate
1124-1241
Record
2,365
Props Graded

Propeller NBA analysis had a tough week, finishing 1124-1241 (47.5%) across 2365 graded props for the week of Oct 19-Oct 25. Our 60-69% confidence tier led the way at 54.0% (94-80). Steals props were the strongest category at 71.8%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
60-69% 94 80 174 54.0%
50-59% 1030 1161 2191 47.0%

The 60-69% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 54.0% on 174 props.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Points 143 245 388 36.9%
Pts+Reb 159 223 382 41.6%
Pts+Ast 143 174 317 45.1%
PRA 135 152 287 47.0%
Threes 131 116 247 53.0%
Reb+Ast 114 90 204 55.9%
Assists 87 103 190 45.8%
Rebounds 101 81 182 55.5%
Steals 107 42 149 71.8%
Blocks 4 15 19 21.1%

Steals was our best-performing stat type at 71.8% (107-42). Reb+Ast followed at 55.9%. Blocks was the weakest at 21.1% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Brandon Miller
Pts+Ast UNDER 29.5 (Actual: 19.0)
64%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Jalen Duren
Points UNDER 16.5 (Actual: 22.0)
61%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

58.3%
Win Rate
26612-19048
Record
45,660
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 47.5% dipped below our 58.3% season average, but single-week variance is normal across 2365 props. Our NBA model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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