Propeller PGA picks went 202-168 (54.6%) in April 2026. Over/Under splits, confidence brackets, weekly trends, and top picks inside.
Propeller PGA analysis delivered a solid month, finishing 202-168 (54.6%) across 370 graded props in April 2026. OVER picks hit at 59.6% while UNDER picks hit at 20.8%. OVER picks significantly outperformed, a trend worth monitoring. The week of Apr 13 was the strongest at 60.8% (169-109). Our 90-100% confidence tier led the way at 80.0% (16-4).
Direction
| Direction | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER | 192 | 130 | 322 | 59.6% |
| UNDER | 10 | 38 | 48 | 20.8% |
By Category
| Stat Type | Over W-L | Over WR | Under W-L | Under WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finishing Position | 122-0 | 100.0% | 0-31 | 0.0% |
| Round 1 Birdies | 70-130 | 35.0% | 10-7 | 58.8% |
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90-100% | 16 | 4 | 20 | 80.0% |
| 80-89% | 36 | 16 | 52 | 69.2% |
| 70-79% | 64 | 51 | 115 | 55.7% |
| 60-69% | 47 | 63 | 110 | 42.7% |
| 50-59% | 39 | 34 | 73 | 53.4% |
The 90-100% confidence bracket was the top performer this month, converting at 80.0% on 20 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration held strong throughout the month. The 60-69% tier struggled at 42.7%, which is typical for lower-conviction picks.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round 1 Birdies | 80 | 137 | 217 | 36.9% |
| Finishing Position | 122 | 31 | 153 | 79.7% |
Finishing Position was our best-performing stat type at 79.7% (122-31). Round 1 Birdies was the weakest at 36.9% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Trend
| Week | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13 | 169 | 109 | 278 |
60.8%
|
| Apr 27 | 33 | 59 | 92 |
35.9%
|
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
PGA Season
Outlook
April's 54.6% is right in line with our 54.6% season average across 370 total graded props. Performance was frontloaded this month, with a stronger start than finish. Our PGA model continues to analyze every prop daily — check back for May's results.
AI-analyzed PGA props updated daily.