Propeller MLB picks went 230751-119980 (65.8%) in April 2026. Over/Under splits, confidence brackets, weekly trends, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis delivered an outstanding month, finishing 230751-119980 (65.8%) across 350731 graded props in April 2026. OVER picks hit at 52.8% while UNDER picks hit at 68.9%. UNDER picks significantly outperformed, a trend worth monitoring. The week of Apr 27 was the strongest at 67.2% (61256-29880). Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 88.1% (893-121).
Direction
| Direction | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER | 36328 | 32411 | 68739 | 52.8% |
| UNDER | 194423 | 87569 | 281992 | 68.9% |
By Category
| Stat Type | Over W-L | Over WR | Under W-L | Under WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doubles | 0-0 | - | 36415-5882 | 86.1% |
| Earned Runs | 734-885 | 45.3% | 1519-1407 | 51.9% |
| Hits | 18850-13989 | 57.4% | 7080-4135 | 63.1% |
| Hits Allowed | 627-494 | 55.9% | 1771-1706 | 50.9% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 8870-9772 | 47.6% | 14260-10155 | 58.4% |
| RBIs | 17-0 | 100.0% | 30971-11182 | 73.5% |
| Runs | 911-1206 | 43.0% | 26454-13628 | 66.0% |
| Singles | 621-548 | 53.1% | 24393-16890 | 59.1% |
| Stolen Bases | 3-0 | 100.0% | 15493-1644 | 90.4% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 884-1069 | 45.3% | 1821-1330 | 57.8% |
| Total Bases | 4194-3926 | 51.7% | 18137-12761 | 58.7% |
| Walks | 343-299 | 53.4% | 15132-5898 | 72.0% |
| Walks Pitcher | 274-223 | 55.1% | 977-951 | 50.7% |
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 893 | 121 | 1014 | 88.1% |
| 70-79% | 55635 | 12063 | 67698 | 82.2% |
| 60-69% | 88366 | 40501 | 128867 | 68.6% |
| 50-59% | 85857 | 67295 | 153152 | 56.1% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this month, converting at 88.1% on 1014 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration held strong throughout the month.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 25930 | 18124 | 44054 | 58.9% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 23130 | 19927 | 43057 | 53.7% |
| Singles | 25014 | 17438 | 42452 | 58.9% |
| Doubles | 36415 | 5882 | 42297 | 86.1% |
| Runs | 27365 | 14834 | 42199 | 64.8% |
| RBIs | 30988 | 11182 | 42170 | 73.5% |
| Total Bases | 22331 | 16687 | 39018 | 57.2% |
| Walks | 15475 | 6197 | 21672 | 71.4% |
| Stolen Bases | 15496 | 1644 | 17140 | 90.4% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 2705 | 2399 | 5104 | 53.0% |
| Hits Allowed | 2398 | 2200 | 4598 | 52.2% |
| Earned Runs | 2253 | 2292 | 4545 | 49.6% |
| Walks Pitcher | 1251 | 1174 | 2425 | 51.6% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 90.4% (15496-1644). Doubles followed at 86.1%. Earned Runs was the weakest at 49.6% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Trend
| Week | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30 | 6907 | 3553 | 10460 |
66.0%
|
| Apr 6 | 9963 | 5101 | 15064 |
66.1%
|
| Apr 13 | 39251 | 20449 | 59700 |
65.7%
|
| Apr 20 | 113374 | 60997 | 174371 |
65.0%
|
| Apr 27 | 61256 | 29880 | 91136 |
67.2%
|
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
April's 65.8% is right in line with our 65.8% season average across 361,913 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — check back for May's results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.