Propeller NBA picks went 8270-5645 (59.4%) in April 2026. Over/Under splits, confidence brackets, weekly trends, and top picks inside.
Propeller NBA analysis delivered a strong month, finishing 8270-5645 (59.4%) across 13915 graded props in April 2026. OVER picks hit at 47.4% while UNDER picks hit at 60.7%. UNDER picks significantly outperformed, a trend worth monitoring. The week of Apr 13 was the strongest at 64.4% (1269-702). Our 60-69% confidence tier led the way at 63.5% (2120-1220).
Direction
| Direction | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER | 643 | 713 | 1356 | 47.4% |
| UNDER | 7627 | 4932 | 12559 | 60.7% |
By Category
| Stat Type | Over W-L | Over WR | Under W-L | Under WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | 1-1 | - | 400-192 | 67.6% |
| Blocks | 0-0 | - | 1499-761 | 66.3% |
| Points | 11-30 | 26.8% | 762-505 | 60.1% |
| Pts+Ast | 7-7 | 50.0% | 674-401 | 62.7% |
| Pts+Reb | 22-36 | 37.9% | 857-564 | 60.3% |
| PRA | 0-7 | 0.0% | 655-453 | 59.1% |
| Rebounds | 13-3 | 81.2% | 514-436 | 54.1% |
| Reb+Ast | 6-14 | 30.0% | 312-261 | 54.5% |
| Steals | 5-11 | 31.2% | 580-251 | 69.8% |
| Threes | 578-604 | 48.9% | 1374-1108 | 55.4% |
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70-79% | 176 | 299 | 475 | 37.1% |
| 60-69% | 2120 | 1220 | 3340 | 63.5% |
| 50-59% | 5974 | 4126 | 10100 | 59.1% |
The 60-69% confidence bracket was the top performer this month, converting at 63.5% on 3340 props. The 70-79% tier struggled at 37.1%, which is typical for lower-conviction picks.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threes | 1952 | 1712 | 3664 | 53.3% |
| Blocks | 1499 | 761 | 2260 | 66.3% |
| Pts+Reb | 879 | 600 | 1479 | 59.4% |
| Points | 773 | 535 | 1308 | 59.1% |
| PRA | 655 | 460 | 1115 | 58.7% |
| Pts+Ast | 681 | 408 | 1089 | 62.5% |
| Rebounds | 527 | 439 | 966 | 54.6% |
| Steals | 585 | 262 | 847 | 69.1% |
| Assists | 401 | 193 | 594 | 67.5% |
| Reb+Ast | 318 | 275 | 593 | 53.6% |
Steals was our best-performing stat type at 69.1% (585-262). Assists followed at 67.5%.
Trend
| Week | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30 | 217 | 200 | 417 |
52.0%
|
| Apr 6 | 374 | 227 | 601 |
62.2%
|
| Apr 13 | 1269 | 702 | 1971 |
64.4%
|
| Apr 20 | 4039 | 2861 | 6900 |
58.5%
|
| Apr 27 | 2371 | 1655 | 4026 |
58.9%
|
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
NBA Season
Outlook
April's 59.4% edged above our 57.8% season average, continuing a positive trend. The model improved throughout the month, finishing stronger than it started. Our NBA model continues to analyze every prop daily — check back for May's results.
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