NBA Monthly Report: 55.7%

Propeller NBA picks went 4543-3608 (55.7%) in October 2026. Over/Under splits, confidence brackets, weekly trends, and top picks inside.

55.7%
Win Rate
4543-3608
Record
8,151
Props Graded

Propeller NBA analysis delivered a strong month, finishing 4543-3608 (55.7%) across 8151 graded props in October 2026. OVER picks hit at 69.4% while UNDER picks hit at 55.7%. OVER picks significantly outperformed, a trend worth monitoring. The week of Oct 26 was the strongest at 59.1% (3419-2367). Our 60-69% confidence tier led the way at 63.8% (438-248).

Over vs Under

Direction Wins Losses Total Win Rate
OVER 34 15 49 69.4%
UNDER 4509 3593 8102 55.7%

O/U by Stat Type

Stat Type Over W-L Over WR Under W-L Under WR
Assists 0-0 - 367-204 64.3%
Blocks 0-0 - 29-26 52.7%
Points 3-0 100.0% 669-602 52.6%
Pts+Ast 0-0 - 670-542 55.3%
Pts+Reb 9-2 81.8% 842-684 55.2%
PRA 6-0 100.0% 675-513 56.8%
Rebounds 0-1 - 324-290 52.8%
Reb+Ast 0-0 - 353-270 56.7%
Steals 16-5 76.2% 197-90 68.6%
Threes 0-7 0.0% 383-372 50.7%

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
60-69% 438 248 686 63.8%
50-59% 4105 3360 7465 55.0%

The 60-69% confidence bracket was the top performer this month, converting at 63.8% on 686 props.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Pts+Reb 851 686 1537 55.4%
Points 672 602 1274 52.7%
Pts+Ast 670 542 1212 55.3%
PRA 681 513 1194 57.0%
Threes 383 379 762 50.3%
Reb+Ast 353 270 623 56.7%
Rebounds 324 291 615 52.7%
Assists 367 204 571 64.3%
Steals 213 95 308 69.2%
Blocks 29 26 55 52.7%

Steals was our best-performing stat type at 69.2% (213-95). Assists followed at 64.3%.

Weekly Breakdown

Week Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Oct 19 1124 1241 2365
47.5%
Oct 26 3419 2367 5786
59.1%

Top 5 Wins

#1
Domantas Sabonis
Threes UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
66%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Franz Wagner
Pts+Ast UNDER 29.5 (Actual: 37.0)
63%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

58.4%
Win Rate
30031-21415
Record
51,446
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

October's 55.7% is right in line with our 58.4% season average across 51,446 total graded props. The model improved throughout the month, finishing stronger than it started. Our NBA model continues to analyze every prop daily — check back for November's results.

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