Propeller MLB picks went 17786-9392 (65.4%) in October 2026. Over/Under splits, confidence brackets, weekly trends, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis delivered an outstanding month, finishing 17786-9392 (65.4%) across 27184 graded props in October 2026. OVER picks hit at 47.0% while UNDER picks hit at 71.6%. UNDER picks significantly outperformed, a trend worth monitoring. The week of Oct 5 was the strongest at 68.4% (3356-1553). Our 70-79% confidence tier led the way at 84.4% (4969-920).
Direction
| Direction | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER | 3188 | 3600 | 6788 | 47.0% |
| UNDER | 14598 | 5792 | 20390 | 71.6% |
By Category
| Stat Type | Over W-L | Over WR | Under W-L | Under WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doubles | 0-0 | - | 2216-306 | 87.9% |
| Earned Runs | 45-80 | 36.0% | 78-109 | 41.7% |
| Hits | 1609-1493 | 51.9% | 190-81 | 70.1% |
| Hits Allowed | 47-79 | 37.3% | 109-68 | 61.6% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 857-1204 | 41.6% | 565-438 | 56.3% |
| Home Runs | 0-0 | - | 296-22 | 93.1% |
| RBIs | 0-0 | - | 2202-698 | 75.9% |
| Runs | 0-54 | 0.0% | 2298-983 | 70.0% |
| Singles | 87-58 | 60.0% | 1978-1162 | 63.0% |
| Stolen Bases | 0-0 | - | 1431-154 | 90.3% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 106-138 | 43.4% | 60-51 | 54.1% |
| Total Bases | 379-475 | 44.4% | 1069-772 | 58.1% |
| Walks | 38-15 | 71.7% | 2008-822 | 71.0% |
| Walks Pitcher | 20-4 | 83.3% | 98-126 | 43.8% |
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 59 | 11 | 70 | 84.3% |
| 70-79% | 4969 | 920 | 5889 | 84.4% |
| 60-69% | 6428 | 3058 | 9486 | 67.8% |
| 50-59% | 6330 | 5403 | 11733 | 54.0% |
The 70-79% confidence bracket was the top performer this month, converting at 84.4% on 5889 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration held strong throughout the month.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 1799 | 1574 | 3373 | 53.3% |
| Runs | 2298 | 1037 | 3335 | 68.9% |
| Singles | 2065 | 1220 | 3285 | 62.9% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 1422 | 1642 | 3064 | 46.4% |
| RBIs | 2202 | 698 | 2900 | 75.9% |
| Walks | 2046 | 837 | 2883 | 71.0% |
| Total Bases | 1448 | 1247 | 2695 | 53.7% |
| Doubles | 2216 | 306 | 2522 | 87.9% |
| Stolen Bases | 1431 | 154 | 1585 | 90.3% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 166 | 189 | 355 | 46.8% |
| Home Runs | 296 | 22 | 318 | 93.1% |
| Earned Runs | 123 | 189 | 312 | 39.4% |
| Hits Allowed | 156 | 147 | 303 | 51.5% |
| Walks Pitcher | 118 | 130 | 248 | 47.6% |
Home Runs was our best-performing stat type at 93.1% (296-22). Stolen Bases followed at 90.3%. Earned Runs was the weakest at 39.4% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Trend
| Week | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | 4596 | 2403 | 6999 |
65.7%
|
| Oct 5 | 3356 | 1553 | 4909 |
68.4%
|
| Oct 12 | 5024 | 2701 | 7725 |
65.0%
|
| Oct 19 | 2168 | 1257 | 3425 |
63.3%
|
| Oct 26 | 2642 | 1478 | 4120 |
64.1%
|
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
October's 65.4% is right in line with our 67.4% season average across 3,248,524 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — check back for November's results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.