Soccer Props: 85.2% Win Rate

PropEdge Soccer picks went 2785-482 (85.2%) for the week of Mar 10-Mar 16. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

85.2%
Win Rate
2785-482
Record
3,267
Props Graded

PropEdge Soccer analysis had a strong week, finishing 2785-482 (85.2%) across 3267 graded props for the week of Mar 10-Mar 16. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 95.5% (1019-48). First Goal props were the strongest category at 97.5%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 1019 48 1067 95.5%
70-79% 884 134 1018 86.8%
60-69% 595 135 730 81.5%
50-59% 287 165 452 63.5%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 95.5% on 1067 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Anytime Goal 756 50 806 93.8%
Shots on Target 398 124 522 76.2%
First Goal 508 13 521 97.5%
Shots 300 212 512 58.6%
Assists 476 23 499 95.4%
Goals Assists 347 60 407 85.3%

First Goal was our best-performing stat type at 97.5% (508-13). Assists followed at 95.4%.

Top 5 Wins

#1
William Saliba
First Goal UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#2
Adam Aznou
First Goal UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#3
Abdukodir Khusanov
Anytime Goal UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#4
Seamus Coleman
First Goal UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#5
Iliman Ndiaye
Assists UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Idrissa Gueye
Shots on Target UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%
#2
Tadeo Allende
Shots OVER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#3
Anthony Gordon
First Goal UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

85.3%
Win Rate
3294-567
Record
3,861
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 85.2% is right in line with our 85.3% season average across 3,861 total graded props. Our Soccer model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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