PropEdge NBA picks went 455-431 (51.4%) for the week of Mar 10-Mar 16. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
PropEdge NBA analysis had a modest week, finishing 455-431 (51.4%) across 886 graded props for the week of Mar 10-Mar 16. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 67.1% (53-26).
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90-100% | 2 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% |
| 80-89% | 53 | 26 | 79 | 67.1% |
| 70-79% | 112 | 123 | 235 | 47.7% |
| 60-69% | 161 | 152 | 313 | 51.4% |
| 50-59% | 127 | 129 | 256 | 49.6% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 67.1% on 79 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pts+Reb | 117 | 110 | 227 | 51.5% |
| Points | 79 | 88 | 167 | 47.3% |
| Pts+Ast | 79 | 64 | 143 | 55.2% |
| PRA | 76 | 64 | 140 | 54.3% |
| Reb+Ast | 37 | 37 | 74 | 50.0% |
| Rebounds | 31 | 37 | 68 | 45.6% |
| Assists | 20 | 14 | 34 | 58.8% |
| Threes | 11 | 13 | 24 | 45.8% |
| Steals | 2 | 4 | 6 | 33.3% |
| Blocks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 100.0% |
Blocks was our best-performing stat type at 100.0% (3-0). Assists followed at 58.8%. Steals was the weakest at 33.3% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
NBA Season
Outlook
This week's 51.4% dipped below our 56.5% season average, but single-week variance is normal across 886 props. Our NBA model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed NBA props updated daily.