PGA Props: 44.1% Win Rate

Propeller PGA picks went 200-254 (44.1%) for the week of May 11-May 17. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

44.1%
Win Rate
200-254
Record
454
Props Graded

Propeller PGA analysis had a tough week, finishing 200-254 (44.1%) across 454 graded props for the week of May 11-May 17. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 47.8% (22-24). Round 1 Birdies props were the strongest category at 44.1%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 22 24 46 47.8%
70-79% 43 51 94 45.7%
60-69% 82 107 189 43.4%
50-59% 53 72 125 42.4%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 47.8% on 46 props. The 50-59% tier struggled at 42.4%, which is typical for lower-conviction picks.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Round 1 Birdies 200 254 454 44.1%

Top 5 Wins

#1
Min Woo Lee
Round 1 Birdies OVER 4.5 (Actual: 5.0)
89%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Tyrrell Hatton
Round 1 Birdies OVER 3.5 (Actual: 3.0)
88%
#2
Jon Rahm
Round 1 Birdies OVER 2.5 (Actual: 2.0)
88%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

51.5%
Win Rate
519-489
Record
1,008
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 44.1% dipped below our 51.5% season average, but single-week variance is normal across 454 props. Our PGA model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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