Propeller MLB picks went 252184-126423 (66.6%) for the week of May 11-May 17. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 252184-126423 (66.6%) across 378607 graded props for the week of May 11-May 17. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 93.0% (859-65). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 88.8%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 859 | 65 | 924 | 93.0% |
| 70-79% | 62493 | 12464 | 74957 | 83.4% |
| 60-69% | 93219 | 41330 | 134549 | 69.3% |
| 50-59% | 95613 | 72564 | 168177 | 56.9% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 93.0% on 924 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 27579 | 20602 | 48181 | 57.2% |
| Singles | 28076 | 18295 | 46371 | 60.5% |
| Doubles | 39242 | 7109 | 46351 | 84.7% |
| Runs | 30625 | 15684 | 46309 | 66.1% |
| RBIs | 34500 | 11809 | 46309 | 74.5% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 25985 | 19620 | 45605 | 57.0% |
| Total Bases | 25582 | 17510 | 43092 | 59.4% |
| Walks | 16428 | 5925 | 22353 | 73.5% |
| Stolen Bases | 15700 | 1983 | 17683 | 88.8% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 2308 | 2749 | 5057 | 45.6% |
| Earned Runs | 2563 | 2177 | 4740 | 54.1% |
| Hits Allowed | 2341 | 2147 | 4488 | 52.2% |
| Walks Pitcher | 1255 | 813 | 2068 | 60.7% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 88.8% (15700-1983). Doubles followed at 84.7%. Strikeouts Pitcher was the weakest at 45.6% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 66.6% outpaced our season average of 66.3%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.