PGA Props: 54.3% Win Rate

Propeller PGA picks went 150-126 (54.3%) for the week of Apr 27-May 3. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

54.3%
Win Rate
150-126
Record
276
Props Graded

Propeller PGA analysis had a modest week, finishing 150-126 (54.3%) across 276 graded props for the week of Apr 27-May 3. Round 1 Birdies props were the strongest category at 54.3%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
90-100% 2 0 2 100.0%
80-89% 19 7 26 73.1%
70-79% 21 25 46 45.7%
60-69% 58 43 101 57.4%
50-59% 50 51 101 49.5%

The 90-100% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 100.0% on 2 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Round 1 Birdies 150 126 276 54.3%

Top 5 Wins

#1
Cameron Young
Round 1 Birdies OVER 6.5 (Actual: 8.0)
90%
#2
Si Woo Kim
Round 1 Birdies OVER 4.5 (Actual: 6.0)
88%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Scottie Scheffler
Round 1 Birdies OVER 4.5 (Actual: 3.0)
88%
#2
Akshay Bhatia
Round 1 Birdies OVER 4.5 (Actual: 3.0)
87%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

57.6%
Win Rate
319-235
Record
554
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 54.3% dipped below our 57.6% season average, but single-week variance is normal across 276 props. Our PGA model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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