PGA Props: 60.8% Win Rate

Propeller PGA picks went 169-109 (60.8%) for the week of Apr 13-Apr 19. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

60.8%
Win Rate
169-109
Record
278
Props Graded

Propeller PGA analysis had a strong week, finishing 169-109 (60.8%) across 278 graded props for the week of Apr 13-Apr 19. Our 90-100% confidence tier led the way at 80.0% (16-4). Finishing Position props were the strongest category at 79.7%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
90-100% 16 4 20 80.0%
80-89% 36 13 49 73.5%
70-79% 52 34 86 60.5%
60-69% 39 42 81 48.1%
50-59% 26 16 42 61.9%

The 90-100% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 80.0% on 20 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Finishing Position 122 31 153 79.7%
Round 1 Birdies 47 78 125 37.6%

Finishing Position was our best-performing stat type at 79.7% (122-31). Round 1 Birdies was the weakest at 37.6% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Viktor Hovland
Finishing Position OVER 0.5 (Actual: 11.0)
90%
#2
Scottie Scheffler
Finishing Position OVER 0.5 (Actual: 2.0)
90%
#3
Patrick Cantlay
Finishing Position OVER 0.5 (Actual: 6.0)
90%
#4
Si Woo Kim
Finishing Position OVER 0.5 (Actual: 3.0)
90%
#5
Brian Harman
Finishing Position OVER 0.5 (Actual: 3.0)
90%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Scottie Scheffler
Round 1 Birdies OVER 5.5 (Actual: 5.0)
90%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

60.8%
Win Rate
169-109
Record
278
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 60.8% is right in line with our 60.8% season average across 278 total graded props. Our PGA model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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