NFL Props: 48.0% Win Rate

Propeller NFL picks went 24931-27043 (48.0%) for the week of Nov 2-Nov 8. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

48.0%
Win Rate
24931-27043
Record
52,155
Props Graded

Propeller NFL analysis had a tough week, finishing 24931-27043 (48.0%) across 52155 graded props for the week of Nov 2-Nov 8. Our 50-59% confidence tier led the way at 48.1% (23310-25164). Kicking Points props were the strongest category at 67.6%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
60-69% 1621 1879 3500 46.3%
50-59% 23310 25164 48474 48.1%

The 50-59% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 48.1% on 48474 props. Interestingly, lower confidence picks performed similarly to high confidence ones this week — a pattern we'll monitor heading into next week.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Rec Yds 6003 6293 12296 48.8%
Player Reception Yds 2966 3328 6294 47.1%
Receptions 2787 3082 5869 47.5%
Rush Yds 2774 2750 5524 50.2%
Player Receptions 2346 2633 4979 47.1%
Pass Yds 1494 1611 3105 48.1%
Player Rush Yds 1373 1683 3056 44.9%
Pass Completions 632 1065 1697 37.2%
Rush Rec Yds 741 898 1639 45.2%
Player Pass Yds 761 839 1600 47.6%
Player Rush Reception Yds 705 719 1424 49.5%
Player Pass Completions 337 518 855 39.4%
Interceptions 501 351 852 58.8%
Tackles Assists 338 444 782 43.2%
Player Interceptions 375 350 725 51.7%
Player Kicking Points 328 225 553 59.3%
Kicking Points 345 165 510 67.6%
Field Goals 125 89 214 58.4%

Kicking Points was our best-performing stat type at 67.6% (345-165). Player Kicking Points followed at 59.3%. Pass Completions was the weakest at 37.2% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Drake Maye
Pass Yds OVER 229.5 (Actual: 299.0)
64%
#2
Drake Maye
Pass Yds OVER 220.5 (Actual: 299.0)
64%
#3
Drake Maye
Interceptions OVER 0.5 (Actual: 3.0)
64%
#4
Tyler Shough
Pass Completions OVER 19.5 (Actual: 21.0)
64%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Tyler Shough
Interceptions OVER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
64%
#2
Justin Herbert
Pass Completions OVER 14.5 (Actual: 13.0)
64%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

50.1%
Win Rate
245796-245294
Record
492,238
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 48.0% is right in line with our 50.1% season average across 492,238 total graded props. Our NFL model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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