NBA Props: 52.8% Win Rate

Propeller NBA picks went 3657-3271 (52.8%) for the week of Nov 2-Nov 8. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

52.8%
Win Rate
3657-3271
Record
6,928
Props Graded

Propeller NBA analysis had a modest week, finishing 3657-3271 (52.8%) across 6928 graded props for the week of Nov 2-Nov 8. Our 50-59% confidence tier led the way at 52.8% (3350-2995). Steals props were the strongest category at 66.3%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
60-69% 307 276 583 52.7%
50-59% 3350 2995 6345 52.8%

The 50-59% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 52.8% on 6345 props. Interestingly, lower confidence picks performed similarly to high confidence ones this week — a pattern we'll monitor heading into next week.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Pts+Reb 712 652 1364 52.2%
Points 622 556 1178 52.8%
Pts+Ast 499 511 1010 49.4%
PRA 393 452 845 46.5%
Threes 463 342 805 57.5%
Rebounds 279 260 539 51.8%
Assists 249 171 420 59.3%
Steals 252 128 380 66.3%
Reb+Ast 169 144 313 54.0%
Blocks 19 55 74 25.7%

Steals was our best-performing stat type at 66.3% (252-128). Assists followed at 59.3%. Blocks was the weakest at 25.7% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Austin Reaves
Threes OVER 1.5 (Actual: 4.0)
63%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
C.J. McCollum
Threes OVER 1.5 (Actual: 1.0)
66%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

57.7%
Win Rate
34143-25055
Record
59,198
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 52.8% dipped below our 57.7% season average, but single-week variance is normal across 6928 props. Our NBA model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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