Propeller NFL picks went 24412-23581 (50.9%) for the week of Oct 5-Oct 11. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller NFL analysis had a modest week, finishing 24412-23581 (50.9%) across 48051 graded props for the week of Oct 5-Oct 11. Our 50-59% confidence tier led the way at 51.0% (22304-21469). Rush Rec Yds props were the strongest category at 60.7%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60-69% | 2108 | 2112 | 4220 | 50.0% |
| 50-59% | 22304 | 21469 | 43773 | 51.0% |
The 50-59% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 51.0% on 43773 props. Interestingly, lower confidence picks performed similarly to high confidence ones this week — a pattern we'll monitor heading into next week.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 6900 | 6131 | 13031 | 53.0% |
| Receptions | 4463 | 3703 | 8166 | 54.7% |
| Rush Yds | 3689 | 3065 | 6754 | 54.6% |
| Player Reception Yds | 2117 | 2009 | 4126 | 51.3% |
| Player Receptions | 2010 | 1980 | 3990 | 50.4% |
| Pass Yds | 1194 | 1987 | 3181 | 37.5% |
| Player Rush Yds | 1250 | 1215 | 2465 | 50.7% |
| Pass Completions | 605 | 1063 | 1668 | 36.3% |
| Player Pass Yds | 384 | 751 | 1135 | 33.8% |
| Interceptions | 615 | 515 | 1130 | 54.4% |
| Player Pass Completions | 339 | 562 | 901 | 37.6% |
| Player Interceptions | 492 | 371 | 863 | 57.0% |
| Rush Rec Yds | 354 | 229 | 583 | 60.7% |
Rush Rec Yds was our best-performing stat type at 60.7% (354-229). Player Interceptions followed at 57.0%. Player Pass Yds was the weakest at 33.8% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
NFL Season
Outlook
This week's 50.9% outpaced our season average of 50.4%, continuing a positive trend. Our NFL model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed NFL props updated daily.