Propeller MLB picks went 3356-1553 (68.4%) for the week of Oct 5-Oct 11. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 3356-1553 (68.4%) across 4915 graded props for the week of Oct 5-Oct 11. Doubles props were the strongest category at 91.3%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 3 | 0 | 3 | 100.0% |
| 70-79% | 901 | 151 | 1052 | 85.6% |
| 60-69% | 1190 | 476 | 1666 | 71.4% |
| 50-59% | 1262 | 926 | 2188 | 57.7% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 100.0% on 3 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singles | 382 | 229 | 611 | 62.5% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 292 | 316 | 608 | 48.0% |
| Hits | 352 | 256 | 608 | 57.9% |
| Runs | 445 | 153 | 598 | 74.4% |
| Walks | 391 | 168 | 559 | 69.9% |
| RBIs | 424 | 93 | 517 | 82.0% |
| Total Bases | 302 | 185 | 487 | 62.0% |
| Doubles | 421 | 40 | 461 | 91.3% |
| Stolen Bases | 219 | 24 | 243 | 90.1% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 44 | 24 | 68 | 64.7% |
| Earned Runs | 23 | 32 | 55 | 41.8% |
| Walks Pitcher | 38 | 10 | 48 | 79.2% |
| Hits Allowed | 23 | 23 | 46 | 50.0% |
Doubles was our best-performing stat type at 91.3% (421-40). Stolen Bases followed at 90.1%. Earned Runs was the weakest at 41.8% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 68.4% outpaced our season average of 67.4%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.