Propeller NFL picks went 28107-24066 (53.9%) for the week of Sep 28-Oct 4. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller NFL analysis had a modest week, finishing 28107-24066 (53.9%) across 52199 graded props for the week of Sep 28-Oct 4. Our 50-59% confidence tier led the way at 54.4% (26349-22056). Rush Rec Yds props were the strongest category at 56.4%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60-69% | 1758 | 2010 | 3768 | 46.7% |
| 50-59% | 26349 | 22056 | 48405 | 54.4% |
The 50-59% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 54.4% on 48405 props.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 7198 | 6344 | 13542 | 53.2% |
| Receptions | 5818 | 4507 | 10325 | 56.3% |
| Rush Yds | 3486 | 3052 | 6538 | 53.3% |
| Player Reception Yds | 2682 | 2092 | 4774 | 56.2% |
| Player Receptions | 2620 | 2091 | 4711 | 55.6% |
| Pass Yds | 1459 | 1717 | 3176 | 45.9% |
| Player Rush Yds | 1295 | 1128 | 2423 | 53.4% |
| Pass Completions | 952 | 809 | 1761 | 54.1% |
| Interceptions | 715 | 620 | 1335 | 53.6% |
| Player Pass Yds | 475 | 532 | 1007 | 47.2% |
| Player Pass Completions | 506 | 447 | 953 | 53.1% |
| Player Interceptions | 520 | 432 | 952 | 54.6% |
| Rush Rec Yds | 381 | 295 | 676 | 56.4% |
Rush Rec Yds was our best-performing stat type at 56.4% (381-295). Receptions followed at 56.3%. Pass Yds was the weakest at 45.9% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
NFL Season
Outlook
This week's 53.9% outpaced our season average of 50.3%, continuing a positive trend. Our NFL model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed NFL props updated daily.