Propeller NFL picks went 27667-23954 (53.6%) for the week of Sep 21-Sep 27. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller NFL analysis had a modest week, finishing 27667-23954 (53.6%) across 51703 graded props for the week of Sep 21-Sep 27. Our 50-59% confidence tier led the way at 53.8% (25860-22191). Pass Yds props were the strongest category at 68.7%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60-69% | 1807 | 1763 | 3570 | 50.6% |
| 50-59% | 25860 | 22191 | 48051 | 53.8% |
The 50-59% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 53.8% on 48051 props. Interestingly, lower confidence picks performed similarly to high confidence ones this week — a pattern we'll monitor heading into next week.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 7280 | 6885 | 14165 | 51.4% |
| Receptions | 5177 | 4866 | 10043 | 51.5% |
| Rush Yds | 3405 | 3476 | 6881 | 49.5% |
| Player Reception Yds | 2067 | 1920 | 3987 | 51.8% |
| Player Receptions | 2098 | 1865 | 3963 | 52.9% |
| Pass Yds | 2402 | 1092 | 3494 | 68.7% |
| Player Rush Yds | 932 | 1032 | 1964 | 47.5% |
| Pass Completions | 1271 | 581 | 1852 | 68.6% |
| Interceptions | 753 | 503 | 1256 | 60.0% |
| Player Pass Yds | 586 | 320 | 906 | 64.7% |
| Rush Rec Yds | 417 | 488 | 905 | 46.1% |
| Player Pass Completions | 609 | 296 | 905 | 67.3% |
| Player Interceptions | 546 | 355 | 901 | 60.6% |
| Sacks | 114 | 265 | 379 | 30.1% |
| Pass Tds | 10 | 10 | 20 | 50.0% |
Pass Yds was our best-performing stat type at 68.7% (2402-1092). Pass Completions followed at 68.6%. Sacks was the weakest at 30.1% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
NFL Season
Outlook
This week's 53.6% outpaced our season average of 49.2%, continuing a positive trend. Our NFL model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed NFL props updated daily.