Propeller MLB picks went 71048-33643 (67.9%) for the week of Sep 21-Sep 27. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 71048-33643 (67.9%) across 104691 graded props for the week of Sep 21-Sep 27. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 97.0% (895-28). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 93.3%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 895 | 28 | 923 | 97.0% |
| 70-79% | 20387 | 3705 | 24092 | 84.6% |
| 60-69% | 26260 | 12114 | 38374 | 68.4% |
| 50-59% | 23506 | 17796 | 41302 | 56.9% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 97.0% on 923 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 7103 | 4661 | 11764 | 60.4% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 6162 | 5395 | 11557 | 53.3% |
| Total Bases | 6559 | 4806 | 11365 | 57.7% |
| Singles | 6195 | 4805 | 11000 | 56.3% |
| Runs | 7038 | 3672 | 10710 | 65.7% |
| RBIs | 7488 | 2940 | 10428 | 71.8% |
| Doubles | 8718 | 1486 | 10204 | 85.4% |
| Walks | 5892 | 2493 | 8385 | 70.3% |
| Home Runs | 6705 | 878 | 7583 | 88.4% |
| Stolen Bases | 6967 | 503 | 7470 | 93.3% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 608 | 634 | 1242 | 49.0% |
| Earned Runs | 531 | 625 | 1156 | 45.9% |
| Hits Allowed | 604 | 444 | 1048 | 57.6% |
| Walks Pitcher | 478 | 301 | 779 | 61.4% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 93.3% (6967-503). Home Runs followed at 88.4%. Earned Runs was the weakest at 45.9% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 67.9% outpaced our season average of 67.4%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.