NFL Props: 49.5% Win Rate

Propeller NFL picks went 21787-22186 (49.5%) for the week of Sep 14-Sep 20. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

49.5%
Win Rate
21787-22186
Record
44,161
Props Graded

Propeller NFL analysis had a tough week, finishing 21787-22186 (49.5%) across 44161 graded props for the week of Sep 14-Sep 20. Our 60-69% confidence tier led the way at 54.2% (2146-1815). Interceptions props were the strongest category at 57.1%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
60-69% 2146 1815 3961 54.2%
50-59% 19641 20371 40012 49.1%

The 60-69% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 54.2% on 3961 props.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Rec Yds 6561 7238 13799 47.5%
Receptions 5025 4548 9573 52.5%
Rush Yds 3678 3387 7065 52.1%
Sacks 2506 2356 4862 51.5%
Pass Yds 1174 1784 2958 39.7%
Pass Completions 626 774 1400 44.7%
Interceptions 521 392 913 57.1%
Player Reception Yds 352 434 786 44.8%
Player Receptions 448 336 784 57.1%
Pass Tds 320 265 585 54.7%
Rush Rec Yds 200 190 390 51.3%
Player Rush Yds 169 221 390 43.3%
Player Pass Yds 50 106 156 32.1%
Player Pass Completions 72 84 156 46.2%
Player Interceptions 85 71 156 54.5%

Interceptions was our best-performing stat type at 57.1% (521-392). Player Receptions followed at 57.1%. Player Pass Yds was the weakest at 32.1% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Malik Willis
Pass Yds OVER 181.5 (Actual: 197.0)
64%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Malik Willis
Rush Yds OVER 40.5 (Actual: 6.0)
64%
#2
Malik Willis
Rush Yds OVER 39.5 (Actual: 6.0)
64%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

47.0%
Win Rate
49201-55511
Record
105,434
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 49.5% outpaced our season average of 47.0%, continuing a positive trend. Our NFL model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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