Propeller MLB picks went 57261-28586 (66.7%) for the week of Sep 14-Sep 20. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 57261-28586 (66.7%) across 85848 graded props for the week of Sep 14-Sep 20. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 95.6% (329-15). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 90.6%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 329 | 15 | 344 | 95.6% |
| 70-79% | 14336 | 2545 | 16881 | 84.9% |
| 60-69% | 22366 | 9778 | 32144 | 69.6% |
| 50-59% | 20230 | 16248 | 36478 | 55.5% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 95.6% on 344 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 6716 | 4724 | 11440 | 58.7% |
| Runs | 6561 | 3647 | 10208 | 64.3% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 5361 | 4589 | 9950 | 53.9% |
| Singles | 5690 | 4044 | 9734 | 58.5% |
| RBIs | 6808 | 2618 | 9426 | 72.2% |
| Total Bases | 4920 | 3496 | 8416 | 58.5% |
| Walks | 5352 | 2559 | 7911 | 67.7% |
| Home Runs | 5276 | 642 | 5918 | 89.2% |
| Stolen Bases | 5000 | 517 | 5517 | 90.6% |
| Doubles | 4034 | 507 | 4541 | 88.8% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 730 | 372 | 1102 | 66.2% |
| Earned Runs | 419 | 361 | 780 | 53.7% |
| Hits Allowed | 321 | 412 | 733 | 43.8% |
| Walks Pitcher | 73 | 98 | 171 | 42.7% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 90.6% (5000-517). Home Runs followed at 89.2%. Walks Pitcher was the weakest at 42.7% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 66.7% is right in line with our 67.4% season average across 3,111,253 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.