Propeller NFL picks went 4506-4203 (51.7%) for the week of Sep 7-Sep 13. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller NFL analysis had a modest week, finishing 4506-4203 (51.7%) across 8713 graded props for the week of Sep 7-Sep 13. Our 50-59% confidence tier led the way at 52.7% (4197-3772). Rush Attempts props were the strongest category at 94.5%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60-69% | 309 | 431 | 740 | 41.8% |
| 50-59% | 4197 | 3772 | 7969 | 52.7% |
The 50-59% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 52.7% on 7969 props. The 60-69% tier struggled at 41.8%, which is typical for lower-conviction picks.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 1164 | 1312 | 2476 | 47.0% |
| Rec Yds | 1198 | 1214 | 2412 | 49.7% |
| Rush Yds | 1014 | 618 | 1632 | 62.1% |
| Pass Tds | 373 | 459 | 832 | 44.8% |
| Pass Yds | 362 | 344 | 706 | 51.3% |
| Pass Completions | 133 | 135 | 268 | 49.6% |
| Interceptions | 124 | 113 | 237 | 52.3% |
| Rush Attempts | 138 | 8 | 146 | 94.5% |
Rush Attempts was our best-performing stat type at 94.5% (138-8). Rush Yds followed at 62.1%. Pass Tds was the weakest at 44.8% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
NFL Season
Outlook
This week's 51.7% is right in line with our 52.4% season average across 10,769 total graded props. Our NFL model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed NFL props updated daily.