Propeller MLB picks went 79646-39087 (67.1%) for the week of Sep 7-Sep 13. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 79646-39087 (67.1%) across 118736 graded props for the week of Sep 7-Sep 13. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 93.7% (266-18). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 91.8%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 266 | 18 | 284 | 93.7% |
| 70-79% | 23704 | 4215 | 27919 | 84.9% |
| 60-69% | 30348 | 13757 | 44105 | 68.8% |
| 50-59% | 25328 | 21097 | 46425 | 54.6% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 93.7% on 284 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 7764 | 4924 | 12688 | 61.2% |
| Home Runs | 11011 | 1582 | 12593 | 87.4% |
| Total Bases | 6671 | 5871 | 12542 | 53.2% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 6475 | 5914 | 12389 | 52.3% |
| RBIs | 8550 | 3773 | 12323 | 69.4% |
| Runs | 7322 | 4916 | 12238 | 59.8% |
| Singles | 6584 | 5137 | 11721 | 56.2% |
| Walks | 7892 | 3198 | 11090 | 71.2% |
| Doubles | 7330 | 1397 | 8727 | 84.0% |
| Stolen Bases | 7866 | 702 | 8568 | 91.8% |
| Earned Runs | 644 | 733 | 1377 | 46.8% |
| Hits Allowed | 713 | 650 | 1363 | 52.3% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 824 | 290 | 1114 | 74.0% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 91.8% (7866-702). Home Runs followed at 87.4%. Earned Runs was the weakest at 46.8% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 67.1% is right in line with our 67.4% season average across 3,025,405 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.