Propeller NBA picks went 328-278 (54.1%) for the week of Mar 30-Apr 5. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller NBA analysis had a modest week, finishing 328-278 (54.1%) across 606 graded props for the week of Mar 30-Apr 5. Our 50-59% confidence tier led the way at 55.3% (121-98). Steals props were the strongest category at 66.7%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60-69% | 207 | 180 | 387 | 53.5% |
| 50-59% | 121 | 98 | 219 | 55.3% |
The 50-59% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 55.3% on 219 props. Interestingly, lower confidence picks performed similarly to high confidence ones this week — a pattern we'll monitor heading into next week.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 73 | 55 | 128 | 57.0% |
| Pts+Reb | 66 | 47 | 113 | 58.4% |
| PRA | 44 | 51 | 95 | 46.3% |
| Pts+Ast | 31 | 36 | 67 | 46.3% |
| Assists | 26 | 29 | 55 | 47.3% |
| Reb+Ast | 27 | 22 | 49 | 55.1% |
| Rebounds | 27 | 18 | 45 | 60.0% |
| Threes | 26 | 16 | 42 | 61.9% |
| Steals | 8 | 4 | 12 | 66.7% |
Steals was our best-performing stat type at 66.7% (8-4). Threes followed at 61.9%. Pts+Ast was the weakest at 46.3% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
NBA Season
Outlook
This week's 54.1% is right in line with our 56.0% season average across 13,772 total graded props. Our NBA model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed NBA props updated daily.