Propeller MLB picks went 9655-4870 (66.5%) for the week of Mar 30-Apr 5. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 9655-4870 (66.5%) across 14525 graded props for the week of Mar 30-Apr 5. Our 70-79% confidence tier led the way at 80.9% (2553-602). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 91.7%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 31 | 8 | 39 | 79.5% |
| 70-79% | 2553 | 602 | 3155 | 80.9% |
| 60-69% | 4076 | 1879 | 5955 | 68.4% |
| 50-59% | 2995 | 2381 | 5376 | 55.7% |
The 70-79% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 80.9% on 3155 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 1064 | 879 | 1943 | 54.8% |
| Hits | 1038 | 760 | 1798 | 57.7% |
| Singles | 991 | 687 | 1678 | 59.1% |
| Runs | 1106 | 561 | 1667 | 66.3% |
| RBIs | 1229 | 411 | 1640 | 74.9% |
| Doubles | 1394 | 220 | 1614 | 86.4% |
| Walks | 1098 | 459 | 1557 | 70.5% |
| Total Bases | 695 | 450 | 1145 | 60.7% |
| Stolen Bases | 616 | 56 | 672 | 91.7% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 117 | 105 | 222 | 52.7% |
| Hits Allowed | 108 | 100 | 208 | 51.9% |
| Earned Runs | 108 | 87 | 195 | 55.4% |
| Walks Pitcher | 91 | 95 | 186 | 48.9% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 91.7% (616-56). Doubles followed at 86.4%. Walks Pitcher was the weakest at 48.9% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 66.5% is right in line with our 66.6% season average across 21,642 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.