NBA Props: 56.7% Win Rate

Propeller NBA picks went 670-511 (56.7%) for the week of Mar 23-Mar 29. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

56.7%
Win Rate
670-511
Record
1,181
Props Graded

Propeller NBA analysis had a solid week, finishing 670-511 (56.7%) across 1181 graded props for the week of Mar 23-Mar 29. Our 60-69% confidence tier led the way at 58.1% (370-267). Steals props were the strongest category at 67.9%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
60-69% 370 267 637 58.1%
50-59% 300 244 544 55.1%

The 60-69% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 58.1% on 637 props. Interestingly, lower confidence picks performed similarly to high confidence ones this week — a pattern we'll monitor heading into next week.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Points 133 103 236 56.4%
PRA 104 87 191 54.5%
Rebounds 88 53 141 62.4%
Pts+Reb 73 61 134 54.5%
Threes 76 54 130 58.5%
Pts+Ast 66 61 127 52.0%
Assists 64 45 109 58.7%
Reb+Ast 44 36 80 55.0%
Steals 19 9 28 67.9%
Blocks 3 2 5 60.0%

Steals was our best-performing stat type at 67.9% (19-9). Rebounds followed at 62.4%.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Daniss Jenkins
Pts+Reb UNDER 21.5 (Actual: 21.0)
68%
#2
Devin Carter
Rebounds UNDER 5.5 (Actual: 3.0)
68%
#3
Ryan Rollins
Assists UNDER 7.5 (Actual: 4.0)
68%
#4
Jake LaRavia
Threes UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 1.0)
68%
#5
Devin Carter
Reb+Ast UNDER 9.5 (Actual: 7.0)
68%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Daniss Jenkins
PRA UNDER 25.5 (Actual: 42.0)
69%
#2
Daniss Jenkins
Pts+Reb UNDER 17.5 (Actual: 34.0)
68%
#3
Daniss Jenkins
Pts+Ast UNDER 25.5 (Actual: 28.0)
68%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

56.1%
Win Rate
7381-5785
Record
13,166
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 56.7% outpaced our season average of 56.1%, continuing a positive trend. Our NBA model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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