MLB Props: 66.8% Win Rate

Propeller MLB picks went 4724-2350 (66.8%) for the week of Mar 23-Mar 29. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

66.8%
Win Rate
4724-2350
Record
7,074
Props Graded

Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 4724-2350 (66.8%) across 7074 graded props for the week of Mar 23-Mar 29. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 89.5% (34-4). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 92.4%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 34 4 38 89.5%
70-79% 1297 280 1577 82.2%
60-69% 2027 919 2946 68.8%
50-59% 1366 1147 2513 54.4%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 89.5% on 38 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Hits+Runs+RBIs 489 426 915 53.4%
Hits 474 373 847 56.0%
Runs 538 275 813 66.2%
Singles 511 302 813 62.9%
RBIs 602 200 802 75.1%
Doubles 693 102 795 87.2%
Walks 539 233 772 69.8%
Total Bases 335 227 562 59.6%
Stolen Bases 353 29 382 92.4%
Strikeouts Pitcher 56 43 99 56.6%
Hits Allowed 48 48 96 50.0%
Earned Runs 47 42 89 52.8%
Walks Pitcher 39 50 89 43.8%

Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 92.4% (353-29). Doubles followed at 87.2%. Walks Pitcher was the weakest at 43.8% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Brett Baty
RBIs UNDER 3.5 (Actual: 3.0)
80%
#2
Luis Robert Jr.
RBIs UNDER 2.5 (Actual: 2.0)
80%
#3
Carson Benge
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%
#4
Ryan O'Hearn
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%
#5
Jorge Polanco
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Carson Benge
Walks UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 2.0)
80%
#2
Alex Bregman
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 2.0)
80%
#3
Chase Meidroth
Walks UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 2.0)
80%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

66.7%
Win Rate
4749-2368
Record
7,117
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 66.8% outpaced our season average of 66.7%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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