Propeller MLB picks went 4162-2223 (65.2%) for the week of Oct 12-Oct 18. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 4162-2223 (65.2%) across 6385 graded props for the week of Oct 12-Oct 18. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 100.0% (20-0). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 95.0%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 20 | 0 | 20 | 100.0% |
| 70-79% | 1295 | 190 | 1485 | 87.2% |
| 60-69% | 1409 | 706 | 2115 | 66.6% |
| 50-59% | 1438 | 1327 | 2765 | 52.0% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 100.0% on 20 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 392 | 370 | 762 | 51.4% |
| Runs | 547 | 203 | 750 | 72.9% |
| Singles | 449 | 278 | 727 | 61.8% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 330 | 366 | 696 | 47.4% |
| Total Bases | 295 | 393 | 688 | 42.9% |
| RBIs | 500 | 152 | 652 | 76.7% |
| Walks | 465 | 177 | 642 | 72.4% |
| Doubles | 445 | 64 | 509 | 87.4% |
| Stolen Bases | 384 | 20 | 404 | 95.0% |
| Home Runs | 202 | 14 | 216 | 93.5% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 49 | 45 | 94 | 52.1% |
| Hits Allowed | 55 | 37 | 92 | 59.8% |
| Earned Runs | 28 | 63 | 91 | 30.8% |
| Walks Pitcher | 21 | 41 | 62 | 33.9% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 95.0% (384-20). Home Runs followed at 93.5%. Earned Runs was the weakest at 30.8% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 65.2% is right in line with our 67.4% season average across 3,239,639 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.