PGA Monthly Report: 63.4%

Propeller PGA picks went 2359-1359 (63.4%) in May 2026. Over/Under splits, confidence brackets, weekly trends, and top picks inside.

63.4%
Win Rate
2359-1359
Record
3,718
Props Graded

Propeller PGA analysis delivered an outstanding month, finishing 2359-1359 (63.4%) across 3718 graded props in May 2026. OVER picks hit at 79.2% while UNDER picks hit at 48.8%. OVER picks significantly outperformed, a trend worth monitoring. The week of May 25 was the strongest at 66.3% (1034-526). Our 90-100% confidence tier led the way at 100.0% (121-0).

Over vs Under

Direction Wins Losses Total Win Rate
OVER 1420 374 1794 79.2%
UNDER 939 985 1924 48.8%

O/U by Stat Type

Stat Type Over W-L Over WR Under W-L Under WR
Make Cut 1309-174 88.3% 850-931 47.7%
Round 1 Birdies 111-200 35.7% 89-54 62.2%

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
90-100% 121 0 121 100.0%
80-89% 478 246 724 66.0%
70-79% 547 271 818 66.9%
60-69% 645 366 1011 63.8%
50-59% 568 476 1044 54.4%

The 90-100% confidence bracket was the top performer this month, converting at 100.0% on 121 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration held strong throughout the month.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Make Cut 2159 1105 3264 66.1%
Round 1 Birdies 200 254 454 44.1%

Make Cut was our best-performing stat type at 66.1% (2159-1105). Round 1 Birdies was the weakest at 44.1% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Weekly Breakdown

Week Wins Losses Total Win Rate
May 11 200 254 454
44.1%
May 18 1125 579 1704
66.0%
May 25 1034 526 1560
66.3%

Top 5 Wins

#1
Jackson Buchanan
Make Cut OVER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
90%
#2
Kevin Yu
Make Cut OVER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
90%
#3
Scottie Scheffler
Make Cut OVER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
90%
#4
Will Gordon
Make Cut OVER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
90%
#5
Eric Cole
Make Cut OVER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
90%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Tyrrell Hatton
Round 1 Birdies OVER 3.5 (Actual: 3.0)
88%
#2
Jon Rahm
Round 1 Birdies OVER 2.5 (Actual: 2.0)
88%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

62.7%
Win Rate
2678-1594
Record
4,272
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

May's 63.4% edged above our 62.7% season average, continuing a positive trend. The model improved throughout the month, finishing stronger than it started. Our PGA model continues to analyze every prop daily — check back for June's results.

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