Propeller NBA picks went 2930-2541 (53.6%) in March 2026. Over/Under splits, confidence brackets, weekly trends, and top picks inside.
Propeller NBA analysis delivered a solid month, finishing 2930-2541 (53.6%) across 5471 graded props in March 2026. OVER picks hit at 48.9% while UNDER picks hit at 55.6%. The week of Mar 30 was the strongest at 58.7% (111-78). Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 58.0% (193-140).
Direction
| Direction | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER | 809 | 846 | 1655 | 48.9% |
| UNDER | 2121 | 1695 | 3816 | 55.6% |
By Category
| Stat Type | Over W-L | Over WR | Under W-L | Under WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | 38-23 | 62.3% | 139-119 | 53.9% |
| Blocks | 6-3 | 66.7% | 13-8 | 61.9% |
| Points | 143-178 | 44.5% | 356-302 | 54.1% |
| Pts+Ast | 114-131 | 46.5% | 317-255 | 55.4% |
| Pts+Reb | 196-201 | 49.4% | 450-349 | 56.3% |
| PRA | 114-121 | 48.5% | 332-291 | 53.3% |
| Rebounds | 79-73 | 52.0% | 186-122 | 60.4% |
| Reb+Ast | 38-41 | 48.1% | 195-179 | 52.1% |
| Steals | 20-18 | 52.6% | 38-14 | 73.1% |
| Threes | 61-57 | 51.7% | 95-56 | 62.9% |
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90-100% | 20 | 19 | 39 | 51.3% |
| 80-89% | 193 | 140 | 333 | 58.0% |
| 70-79% | 497 | 469 | 966 | 51.4% |
| 60-69% | 1286 | 1080 | 2366 | 54.4% |
| 50-59% | 934 | 833 | 1767 | 52.9% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this month, converting at 58.0% on 333 props.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pts+Reb | 646 | 550 | 1196 | 54.0% |
| Points | 499 | 480 | 979 | 51.0% |
| PRA | 446 | 412 | 858 | 52.0% |
| Pts+Ast | 431 | 386 | 817 | 52.8% |
| Rebounds | 265 | 195 | 460 | 57.6% |
| Reb+Ast | 233 | 220 | 453 | 51.4% |
| Assists | 177 | 142 | 319 | 55.5% |
| Threes | 156 | 113 | 269 | 58.0% |
| Steals | 58 | 32 | 90 | 64.4% |
| Blocks | 19 | 11 | 30 | 63.3% |
Steals was our best-performing stat type at 64.4% (58-32). Blocks followed at 63.3%.
Trend
| Week | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23 | 189 | 190 | 379 |
49.9%
|
| Mar 2 | 897 | 763 | 1660 |
54.0%
|
| Mar 9 | 556 | 507 | 1063 |
52.3%
|
| Mar 16 | 507 | 492 | 999 |
50.8%
|
| Mar 23 | 670 | 511 | 1181 |
56.7%
|
| Mar 30 | 111 | 78 | 189 |
58.7%
|
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
NBA Season
Outlook
March's 53.6% is right in line with our 56.1% season average across 13,355 total graded props. The model improved throughout the month, finishing stronger than it started. Our NBA model continues to analyze every prop daily — check back for April's results.
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