Propeller MLB picks went 7497-3685 (67.0%) in March 2026. Over/Under splits, confidence brackets, weekly trends, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis delivered an outstanding month, finishing 7497-3685 (67.0%) across 11182 graded props in March 2026. OVER picks hit at 49.0% while UNDER picks hit at 71.3%. UNDER picks significantly outperformed, a trend worth monitoring. The week of Mar 30 was the strongest at 67.6% (2748-1317). Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 89.7% (35-4).
Direction
| Direction | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER | 1053 | 1096 | 2149 | 49.0% |
| UNDER | 6444 | 2589 | 9033 | 71.3% |
By Category
| Stat Type | Over W-L | Over WR | Under W-L | Under WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doubles | 0-4 | 0.0% | 1121-158 | 87.6% |
| Earned Runs | 27-33 | 45.0% | 52-43 | 54.7% |
| Hits | 484-422 | 53.4% | 278-176 | 61.2% |
| Hits Allowed | 21-29 | 42.0% | 63-51 | 55.3% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 307-351 | 46.7% | 473-309 | 60.5% |
| Home Runs | 3-1 | 75.0% | 0-0 | - |
| Outs Recorded | 2-3 | 40.0% | 0-0 | - |
| RBIs | 2-6 | 25.0% | 975-313 | 75.7% |
| Runs | 35-53 | 39.8% | 842-376 | 69.1% |
| Singles | 33-46 | 41.8% | 761-464 | 62.1% |
| Stolen Bases | 2-2 | 50.0% | 484-39 | 92.5% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 33-28 | 54.1% | 62-40 | 60.8% |
| Total Bases | 81-85 | 48.8% | 427-222 | 65.8% |
| Walks | 11-23 | 32.4% | 850-331 | 72.0% |
| Walks Pitcher | 10-10 | 50.0% | 55-67 | 45.1% |
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 35 | 4 | 39 | 89.7% |
| 70-79% | 1937 | 422 | 2359 | 82.1% |
| 60-69% | 3274 | 1449 | 4723 | 69.3% |
| 50-59% | 2251 | 1810 | 4061 | 55.4% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this month, converting at 89.7% on 39 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration held strong throughout the month.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 780 | 660 | 1440 | 54.2% |
| Hits | 762 | 598 | 1360 | 56.0% |
| Runs | 877 | 429 | 1306 | 67.2% |
| Singles | 794 | 510 | 1304 | 60.9% |
| RBIs | 977 | 319 | 1296 | 75.4% |
| Doubles | 1121 | 162 | 1283 | 87.4% |
| Walks | 861 | 354 | 1215 | 70.9% |
| Total Bases | 508 | 307 | 815 | 62.3% |
| Stolen Bases | 486 | 41 | 527 | 92.2% |
| Hits Allowed | 84 | 80 | 164 | 51.2% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 95 | 68 | 163 | 58.3% |
| Earned Runs | 79 | 76 | 155 | 51.0% |
| Walks Pitcher | 65 | 77 | 142 | 45.8% |
| Outs Recorded | 2 | 3 | 5 | 40.0% |
| Home Runs | 3 | 1 | 4 | 75.0% |
| Strikeouts | 3 | 0 | 3 | 100.0% |
Strikeouts was our best-performing stat type at 100.0% (3-0). Stolen Bases followed at 92.2%. Outs Recorded was the weakest at 40.0% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Trend
| Week | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
59.3%
|
| Mar 2 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
56.2%
|
| Mar 23 | 4724 | 2350 | 7074 |
66.8%
|
| Mar 30 | 2748 | 1317 | 4065 |
67.6%
|
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
March's 67.0% is right in line with our 67.0% season average across 11,182 total graded props. The model improved throughout the month, finishing stronger than it started. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — check back for April's results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.