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How do Propeller confidence scores work?

Propeller displays a More/Over or Less/Under direction plus a 50–100 model-confidence score. Higher values show stronger support for the displayed side. The score is not a calibrated win probability or guarantee.

Last updated: 2026-07-20

Direct answer: Propeller displays a More/Over or Less/Under direction plus a 50–100 model-confidence score. Higher values show stronger support for the displayed side. The score is not a calibrated win probability or guarantee.

Watch the explanation · 5:33

What does a score like 72 actually tell you?

Follow the same historical prop across desktop and mobile to separate direction, confidence, and estimated chance to hit—and see what evidence to inspect next.

Key takeaway: A score of 72 is a comparatively strong directional signal for the displayed side. It is not a 72% win probability and never guarantees the result.

How To Read The Score

Read the displayed direction first, then the 50–100 confidence value. A value near 50 is closer to neutral; a higher value means stronger support for that displayed side.

What Goes Into A Score

Signals can include matchup quality, role and minutes, injury cascade effects, game environment, recent form, hit-rate context, and market probability.

How To Use Scores Responsibly

Confidence is not certainty. Use scores as one input alongside current line, payout format, injury news, and your own risk rules.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do Propeller confidence scores work?

Propeller displays a direction plus a 50–100 confidence score. Higher values show stronger support for the displayed More/Over or Less/Under side; they are not win probabilities.

Is a high Propeller score guaranteed to win?

No. A high score indicates stronger model confidence, not certainty. Sports outcomes are inherently uncertain.

What signals affect Propeller confidence?

Signals can include matchup, role, injuries, game environment, recent form, historical hit rates, market probability, and platform line context.

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