Propeller NBA picks went 507-492 (50.8%) for the week of Mar 16-Mar 22. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller NBA analysis had a modest week, finishing 507-492 (50.8%) across 999 graded props for the week of Mar 16-Mar 22. Our 70-79% confidence tier led the way at 54.0% (162-138). Steals props were the strongest category at 69.0%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90-100% | 11 | 14 | 25 | 44.0% |
| 80-89% | 31 | 39 | 70 | 44.3% |
| 70-79% | 162 | 138 | 300 | 54.0% |
| 60-69% | 263 | 263 | 526 | 50.0% |
| 50-59% | 40 | 38 | 78 | 51.3% |
The 70-79% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 54.0% on 300 props. The 90-100% tier struggled at 44.0%, which is typical for lower-conviction picks.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pts+Reb | 107 | 95 | 202 | 53.0% |
| Points | 86 | 101 | 187 | 46.0% |
| PRA | 67 | 90 | 157 | 42.7% |
| Pts+Ast | 62 | 75 | 137 | 45.3% |
| Rebounds | 60 | 45 | 105 | 57.1% |
| Assists | 39 | 28 | 67 | 58.2% |
| Threes | 35 | 23 | 58 | 60.3% |
| Reb+Ast | 23 | 20 | 43 | 53.5% |
| Steals | 20 | 9 | 29 | 69.0% |
| Blocks | 8 | 6 | 14 | 57.1% |
Steals was our best-performing stat type at 69.0% (20-9). Threes followed at 60.3%. PRA was the weakest at 42.7% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
NBA Season
Outlook
This week's 50.8% dipped below our 56.0% season average, but single-week variance is normal across 999 props. Our NBA model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed NBA props updated daily.