MLB Props: 64.1% Win Rate

Propeller MLB picks went 2642-1478 (64.1%) for the week of Oct 26-Nov 1. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

64.1%
Win Rate
2642-1478
Record
4,120
Props Graded

Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 2642-1478 (64.1%) across 4120 graded props for the week of Oct 26-Nov 1. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 100.0% (12-0). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 90.9%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 12 0 12 100.0%
70-79% 659 153 812 81.2%
60-69% 1064 413 1477 72.0%
50-59% 907 912 1819 49.9%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 100.0% on 12 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Hits 304 241 545 55.8%
Runs 297 217 514 57.8%
Singles 330 176 506 65.2%
RBIs 316 139 455 69.5%
Hits+Runs+RBIs 188 264 452 41.6%
Walks 371 68 439 84.5%
Doubles 310 79 389 79.7%
Total Bases 166 165 331 50.2%
Stolen Bases 299 30 329 90.9%
Strikeouts Pitcher 10 34 44 22.7%
Earned Runs 14 28 42 33.3%
Hits Allowed 17 22 39 43.6%
Walks Pitcher 20 15 35 57.1%

Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 90.9% (299-30). Walks followed at 84.5%. Strikeouts Pitcher was the weakest at 22.7% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Jake Bauers
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#2
Ben Williamson
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Christian Yelich
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
78%
#2
Brice Turang
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
78%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

67.4%
Win Rate
2188367-1060059
Record
3,248,524
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 64.1% dipped below our 67.4% season average, but single-week variance is normal across 4120 props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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