Propeller MLB picks went 73687-37334 (66.4%) for the week of Aug 31-Sep 6. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 73687-37334 (66.4%) across 111021 graded props for the week of Aug 31-Sep 6. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 86.7% (117-18). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 92.4%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 117 | 18 | 135 | 86.7% |
| 70-79% | 19988 | 3659 | 23647 | 84.5% |
| 60-69% | 27216 | 12513 | 39729 | 68.5% |
| 50-59% | 26366 | 21144 | 47510 | 55.5% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 86.7% on 135 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 7218 | 5138 | 12356 | 58.4% |
| Runs | 7714 | 4576 | 12290 | 62.8% |
| Total Bases | 6548 | 5715 | 12263 | 53.4% |
| Singles | 6941 | 4991 | 11932 | 58.2% |
| RBIs | 8320 | 3505 | 11825 | 70.4% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 6203 | 5360 | 11563 | 53.6% |
| Walks | 7647 | 3219 | 10866 | 70.4% |
| Doubles | 9223 | 1599 | 10822 | 85.2% |
| Home Runs | 7396 | 1178 | 8574 | 86.3% |
| Stolen Bases | 4513 | 373 | 4886 | 92.4% |
| Hits Allowed | 730 | 634 | 1364 | 53.5% |
| Earned Runs | 617 | 733 | 1350 | 45.7% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 617 | 313 | 930 | 66.3% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 92.4% (4513-373). Home Runs followed at 86.3%. Earned Runs was the weakest at 45.7% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 66.4% is right in line with our 67.4% season average across 2,906,669 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.