Propeller MLB picks went 64264-33980 (65.4%) for the week of Aug 17-Aug 23. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 64264-33980 (65.4%) across 98244 graded props for the week of Aug 17-Aug 23. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 93.8% (152-10). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 90.9%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 152 | 10 | 162 | 93.8% |
| 70-79% | 14229 | 2845 | 17074 | 83.3% |
| 60-69% | 24669 | 10491 | 35160 | 70.2% |
| 50-59% | 25214 | 20634 | 45848 | 55.0% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 93.8% on 162 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 7794 | 5459 | 13253 | 58.8% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 7058 | 5953 | 13011 | 54.2% |
| Total Bases | 7035 | 5910 | 12945 | 54.3% |
| RBIs | 9140 | 3591 | 12731 | 71.8% |
| Runs | 8062 | 4610 | 12672 | 63.6% |
| Home Runs | 6563 | 777 | 7340 | 89.4% |
| Singles | 4019 | 3043 | 7062 | 56.9% |
| Walks | 4556 | 1910 | 6466 | 70.5% |
| Doubles | 4274 | 624 | 4898 | 87.3% |
| Stolen Bases | 3645 | 364 | 4009 | 90.9% |
| Earned Runs | 785 | 675 | 1460 | 53.8% |
| Hits Allowed | 639 | 814 | 1453 | 44.0% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 694 | 250 | 944 | 73.5% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 90.9% (3645-364). Home Runs followed at 89.4%. Hits Allowed was the weakest at 44.0% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 65.4% is right in line with our 67.4% season average across 2,680,077 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.