MLB Props: 67.8% Win Rate

Propeller MLB picks went 84074-39955 (67.8%) for the week of Aug 3-Aug 9. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

67.8%
Win Rate
84074-39955
Record
124,040
Props Graded

Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 84074-39955 (67.8%) across 124040 graded props for the week of Aug 3-Aug 9. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 90.8% (258-26). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 92.4%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 258 26 284 90.8%
70-79% 26799 5037 31836 84.2%
60-69% 31033 13143 44176 70.2%
50-59% 25984 21749 47733 54.4%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 90.8% on 284 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Hits 7253 5583 12836 56.5%
Total Bases 7094 5727 12821 55.3%
Runs 7856 4813 12669 62.0%
Singles 6909 5619 12528 55.1%
Home Runs 11113 1370 12483 89.0%
Hits+Runs+RBIs 6504 5847 12351 52.7%
RBIs 8680 3493 12173 71.3%
Walks 7856 3592 11448 68.6%
Doubles 9804 1612 11416 85.9%
Stolen Bases 8715 717 9432 92.4%
Earned Runs 818 570 1388 58.9%
Hits Allowed 711 674 1385 51.3%
Strikeouts Pitcher 761 338 1099 69.2%

Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 92.4% (8715-717). Home Runs followed at 89.0%.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Randy Dobnak
Hits Allowed UNDER 6.0 (Actual: 3.0)
80%
#2
Colton Cowser
Doubles UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#3
Wilyer Abreu
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Alex Bregman
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%
#2
Lawrence Butler
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

67.5%
Win Rate
1667259-802785
Record
2,470,124
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 67.8% outpaced our season average of 67.5%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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