Propeller MLB picks went 73317-34002 (68.3%) for the week of Jul 27-Aug 2. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 73317-34002 (68.3%) across 107319 graded props for the week of Jul 27-Aug 2. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 92.0% (309-27). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 90.9%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 309 | 27 | 336 | 92.0% |
| 70-79% | 24175 | 4211 | 28386 | 85.2% |
| 60-69% | 25880 | 11425 | 37305 | 69.4% |
| 50-59% | 22953 | 18339 | 41292 | 55.6% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 92.0% on 336 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 6830 | 4465 | 11295 | 60.5% |
| Runs | 7174 | 4037 | 11211 | 64.0% |
| Total Bases | 6239 | 4886 | 11125 | 56.1% |
| Singles | 6177 | 4815 | 10992 | 56.2% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 5592 | 5202 | 10794 | 51.8% |
| Home Runs | 9621 | 1009 | 10630 | 90.5% |
| RBIs | 7679 | 2936 | 10615 | 72.3% |
| Doubles | 8912 | 1482 | 10394 | 85.7% |
| Walks | 6788 | 3195 | 9983 | 68.0% |
| Stolen Bases | 6589 | 657 | 7246 | 90.9% |
| Earned Runs | 606 | 610 | 1216 | 49.8% |
| Hits Allowed | 706 | 508 | 1214 | 58.2% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 404 | 200 | 604 | 66.9% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 90.9% (6589-657). Home Runs followed at 90.5%. Earned Runs was the weakest at 49.8% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 68.3% outpaced our season average of 67.5%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.