Propeller MLB picks went 74051-36623 (66.9%) for the week of Jul 20-Jul 26. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 74051-36623 (66.9%) across 110694 graded props for the week of Jul 20-Jul 26. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 94.2% (471-29). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 91.0%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 471 | 29 | 500 | 94.2% |
| 70-79% | 20105 | 4021 | 24126 | 83.3% |
| 60-69% | 27625 | 12517 | 40142 | 68.8% |
| 50-59% | 25850 | 20056 | 45906 | 56.3% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 94.2% on 500 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 8001 | 5225 | 13226 | 60.5% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 6841 | 5745 | 12586 | 54.4% |
| Runs | 7604 | 4681 | 12285 | 61.9% |
| Total Bases | 6634 | 5309 | 11943 | 55.5% |
| RBIs | 8497 | 3376 | 11873 | 71.6% |
| Singles | 6187 | 5085 | 11272 | 54.9% |
| Walks | 7593 | 2963 | 10556 | 71.9% |
| Home Runs | 8735 | 1032 | 9767 | 89.4% |
| Doubles | 6726 | 1273 | 7999 | 84.1% |
| Stolen Bases | 5354 | 532 | 5886 | 91.0% |
| Earned Runs | 720 | 691 | 1411 | 51.0% |
| Hits Allowed | 786 | 563 | 1349 | 58.3% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 373 | 148 | 521 | 71.6% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 91.0% (5354-532). Home Runs followed at 89.4%.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 66.9% is right in line with our 67.4% season average across 2,238,765 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.