Propeller MLB picks went 34885-15727 (68.9%) for the week of Jul 13-Jul 19. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 34885-15727 (68.9%) across 50614 graded props for the week of Jul 13-Jul 19. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 89.7% (332-38). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 90.6%.
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 332 | 38 | 370 | 89.7% |
| 70-79% | 10529 | 1867 | 12396 | 84.9% |
| 60-69% | 13047 | 5388 | 18435 | 70.8% |
| 50-59% | 10977 | 8434 | 19411 | 56.6% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 89.7% on 370 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 3529 | 2339 | 5868 | 60.1% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 3391 | 2328 | 5719 | 59.3% |
| Total Bases | 3129 | 2537 | 5666 | 55.2% |
| Home Runs | 4692 | 671 | 5363 | 87.5% |
| Runs | 3096 | 1775 | 4871 | 63.6% |
| Walks | 3369 | 1265 | 4634 | 72.7% |
| Singles | 2596 | 2009 | 4605 | 56.4% |
| Stolen Bases | 3929 | 409 | 4338 | 90.6% |
| RBIs | 2802 | 1179 | 3981 | 70.4% |
| Doubles | 3206 | 706 | 3912 | 82.0% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 458 | 102 | 560 | 81.8% |
| Hits Allowed | 371 | 175 | 546 | 67.9% |
| Earned Runs | 311 | 224 | 535 | 58.1% |
| Pitches Thrown | 6 | 8 | 14 | 42.9% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 90.6% (3929-409). Home Runs followed at 87.5%. Pitches Thrown was the weakest at 42.9% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
This week's 68.9% outpaced our season average of 67.4%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.