MLB Props: 69.1% Win Rate

Propeller MLB picks went 11470-5123 (69.1%) for the week of Jul 6-Jul 12. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

69.1%
Win Rate
11470-5123
Record
16,593
Props Graded

Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 11470-5123 (69.1%) across 16593 graded props for the week of Jul 6-Jul 12. Our 70-79% confidence tier led the way at 83.9% (2211-423). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 93.9%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
70-79% 2211 423 2634 83.9%
60-69% 5627 1928 7555 74.5%
50-59% 3632 2772 6404 56.7%

The 70-79% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 83.9% on 2634 props.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Hits 1133 956 2089 54.2%
Home Runs 1818 228 2046 88.9%
Total Bases 1161 877 2038 57.0%
Hits+Runs+RBIs 1028 1008 2036 50.5%
Stolen Bases 1685 109 1794 93.9%
Runs 899 454 1353 66.4%
Walks 966 261 1227 78.7%
Singles 660 537 1197 55.1%
RBIs 856 337 1193 71.8%
Doubles 928 165 1093 84.9%
Strikeouts Pitcher 153 80 233 65.7%
Earned Runs 74 74 148 50.0%
Hits Allowed 109 37 146 74.7%

Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 93.9% (1685-109). Home Runs followed at 88.9%.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Petey Halpin
Home Runs UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
79%
#2
Josh Bell
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
79%
#3
Ozzie Albies
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
79%
#4
Brandon Valenzuela
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
79%
#5
Eduardo Valencia
RBIs UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
79%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Germán Márquez
Hits Allowed UNDER 5.5 (Actual: 6.0)
78%
#2
Leody Taveras
Home Runs UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
78%
#3
Braden Montgomery
Home Runs UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
78%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

67.4%
Win Rate
1324136-641561
Record
1,965,727
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 69.1% outpaced our season average of 67.4%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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