MLB Props: 71.4% Win Rate

Propeller MLB picks went 100414-40127 (71.4%) for the week of Jun 22-Jun 28. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

71.4%
Win Rate
100414-40127
Record
140,556
Props Graded

Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 100414-40127 (71.4%) across 140556 graded props for the week of Jun 22-Jun 28. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 91.0% (1498-149). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 93.0%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 1498 149 1647 91.0%
70-79% 28523 4356 32879 86.8%
60-69% 42951 14861 57812 74.3%
50-59% 27442 20761 48203 56.9%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 91.0% on 1647 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Hits 9224 6409 15633 59.0%
RBIs 11918 3650 15568 76.6%
Hits+Runs+RBIs 9263 6238 15501 59.8%
Runs 10304 4740 15044 68.5%
Walks 10710 4081 14791 72.4%
Total Bases 8666 5286 13952 62.1%
Home Runs 12445 1417 13862 89.8%
Singles 8517 4626 13143 64.8%
Stolen Bases 8996 680 9676 93.0%
Doubles 7862 1464 9326 84.3%
Earned Runs 946 627 1573 60.1%
Hits Allowed 918 493 1411 65.1%
Strikeouts Pitcher 458 272 730 62.7%
Pitches Thrown 187 144 331 56.5%

Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 93.0% (8996-680). Home Runs followed at 89.8%.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Austin Wells
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#2
Brandon Marsh
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%
#3
Isaac Paredes
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%
#4
Jake Bauers
Walks UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%
#5
Gunnar Henderson
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Freddie Freeman
Total Bases UNDER 3.5 (Actual: 4.0)
80%
#2
Kahlil Watson
RBIs UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 2.0)
80%
#3
Ezequiel Duran
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 2.0)
80%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

67.3%
Win Rate
1312666-636438
Record
1,949,134
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 71.4% outpaced our season average of 67.3%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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