MLB Props: 71.6% Win Rate

Propeller MLB picks went 121492-48245 (71.6%) for the week of Jun 15-Jun 21. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

71.6%
Win Rate
121492-48245
Record
169,742
Props Graded

Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 121492-48245 (71.6%) across 169742 graded props for the week of Jun 15-Jun 21. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 92.4% (1213-100). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 92.8%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 1213 100 1313 92.4%
70-79% 32908 4906 37814 87.0%
60-69% 52242 17819 70061 74.6%
50-59% 35129 25420 60549 58.0%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 92.4% on 1313 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Hits 11226 7445 18671 60.1%
Hits+Runs+RBIs 11035 7495 18530 59.6%
RBIs 14030 4254 18284 76.7%
Total Bases 11055 6676 17731 62.3%
Walks 13050 4395 17445 74.8%
Runs 11720 5654 17374 67.5%
Home Runs 15096 1887 16983 88.9%
Singles 10631 5806 16437 64.7%
Doubles 10965 1876 12841 85.4%
Stolen Bases 9254 718 9972 92.8%
Earned Runs 1156 848 2004 57.7%
Hits Allowed 1140 760 1900 60.0%
Strikeouts Pitcher 809 266 1075 75.3%
Pitches Thrown 325 165 490 66.3%

Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 92.8% (9254-718). Home Runs followed at 88.9%.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Zack Gelof
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#2
Jacob Young
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#3
Keibert Ruiz
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#4
Carson Kelly
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#5
Alex Bregman
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Dylan Crews
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 3.0)
80%
#2
Curtis Mead
RBIs UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 2.0)
80%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

67.0%
Win Rate
1212252-596311
Record
1,808,578
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 71.6% outpaced our season average of 67.0%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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