MLB Props: 65.6% Win Rate

Propeller MLB picks went 108671-57077 (65.6%) for the week of May 25-May 31. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

65.6%
Win Rate
108671-57077
Record
165,748
Props Graded

Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 108671-57077 (65.6%) across 165748 graded props for the week of May 25-May 31. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 93.5% (560-39). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 92.7%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 560 39 599 93.5%
70-79% 25704 5210 30914 83.1%
60-69% 40278 18478 58756 68.6%
50-59% 42129 33350 75479 55.8%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 93.5% on 599 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Hits 12037 8753 20790 57.9%
Doubles 17286 2942 20228 85.5%
Runs 12657 7555 20212 62.6%
Singles 12096 8116 20212 59.8%
RBIs 14291 5921 20212 70.7%
Hits+Runs+RBIs 10985 9136 20121 54.6%
Total Bases 10864 8029 18893 57.5%
Walks 6936 2661 9597 72.3%
Stolen Bases 7720 607 8327 92.7%
Strikeouts Pitcher 1079 1066 2145 50.3%
Earned Runs 1151 924 2075 55.5%
Hits Allowed 1075 931 2006 53.6%
Walks Pitcher 494 436 930 53.1%

Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 92.7% (7720-607). Doubles followed at 85.5%.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Nick Gonzales
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#2
Kyle Isbel
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#3
Joey Ortiz
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#4
Marcus Semien
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Oswald Peraza
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%
#2
Colt Keith
Walks UNDER 1.5 (Actual: 2.0)
80%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

66.4%
Win Rate
869253-440222
Record
1,309,475
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 65.6% is right in line with our 66.4% season average across 1,309,475 total graded props. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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