MLB Props: 67.5% Win Rate

Propeller MLB picks went 98995-47579 (67.5%) for the week of May 18-May 24. Confidence bracket breakdown, stat analysis, and top picks inside.

67.5%
Win Rate
98995-47579
Record
146,574
Props Graded

Propeller MLB analysis had a strong week, finishing 98995-47579 (67.5%) across 146574 graded props for the week of May 18-May 24. Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 95.4% (452-22). Stolen Bases props were the strongest category at 93.0%.

Results by Bracket

Bracket Wins Losses Total Win Rate
80-89% 452 22 474 95.4%
70-79% 22554 3779 26333 85.6%
60-69% 38295 15161 53456 71.6%
50-59% 37694 28617 66311 56.8%

The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this week, converting at 95.4% on 474 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration is tracking well.

Results by Stat Type

Stat Type Wins Losses Total Win Rate
Hits 10076 8435 18511 54.4%
Singles 11490 6602 18092 63.5%
Doubles 15706 2322 18028 87.1%
Runs 12405 5569 17974 69.0%
RBIs 13840 4133 17973 77.0%
Hits+Runs+RBIs 9986 7973 17959 55.6%
Total Bases 9600 6942 16542 58.0%
Walks 5859 2078 7937 73.8%
Stolen Bases 6512 492 7004 93.0%
Strikeouts Pitcher 1063 995 2058 51.7%
Earned Runs 1074 808 1882 57.1%
Hits Allowed 995 806 1801 55.2%
Walks Pitcher 389 424 813 47.8%

Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 93.0% (6512-492). Doubles followed at 87.1%. Walks Pitcher was the weakest at 47.8% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.

Top 5 Wins

#1
Sandy Leon
RBIs UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%
#2
Michael Harris II
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 0.0)
80%

Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.

Biggest Misses

#1
Michael Harris II
Stolen Bases UNDER 0.5 (Actual: 1.0)
80%

We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.

Season To Date

66.5%
Win Rate
760582-383145
Record
1,143,727
Props Graded

Looking Ahead

This week's 67.5% outpaced our season average of 66.5%, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — follow along next week for updated picks and results.

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