Propeller MLB picks went 243805-113533 (68.2%) in July 2026. Over/Under splits, confidence brackets, weekly trends, and top picks inside.
Propeller MLB analysis delivered an outstanding month, finishing 243805-113533 (68.2%) across 357377 graded props in July 2026. OVER picks hit at 57.2% while UNDER picks hit at 70.6%. UNDER picks significantly outperformed, a trend worth monitoring. The week of Jun 29 was the strongest at 69.8% (22906-9930). Our 80-89% confidence tier led the way at 92.6% (1173-94).
Direction
| Direction | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER | 36463 | 27242 | 63705 | 57.2% |
| UNDER | 207342 | 86291 | 293633 | 70.6% |
By Category
| Stat Type | Over W-L | Over WR | Under W-L | Under WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doubles | 10-97 | 9.3% | 21890-3925 | 84.8% |
| Earned Runs | 769-706 | 52.1% | 1463-1195 | 55.0% |
| Hits | 17331-11346 | 60.4% | 6918-5800 | 54.4% |
| Hits Allowed | 863-308 | 73.7% | 1603-1182 | 57.6% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 10566-8964 | 54.1% | 11307-9454 | 54.5% |
| Home Runs | 10-87 | 10.3% | 32786-4196 | 88.7% |
| Outs Recorded | 67-67 | 50.0% | 428-427 | 50.1% |
| Pitches Thrown | 0-0 | - | 44-54 | 44.9% |
| RBIs | 40-112 | 26.3% | 24500-9425 | 72.2% |
| Runs | 979-1320 | 42.6% | 21903-12093 | 64.4% |
| Singles | 257-179 | 58.9% | 17607-13447 | 56.7% |
| Stolen Bases | 0-0 | - | 24914-2275 | 91.6% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 1773-588 | 75.1% | 238-145 | 62.1% |
| Total Bases | 3457-2959 | 53.9% | 18305-13441 | 57.7% |
| Walks | 341-509 | 40.1% | 23436-9232 | 71.7% |
Confidence
| Bracket | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89% | 1173 | 94 | 1267 | 92.6% |
| 70-79% | 63630 | 12055 | 75685 | 84.1% |
| 60-69% | 101061 | 41319 | 142380 | 71.0% |
| 50-59% | 77941 | 60065 | 138006 | 56.5% |
The 80-89% confidence bracket was the top performer this month, converting at 92.6% on 1267 props. Higher confidence picks outperformed lower tiers as expected — the model's calibration held strong throughout the month.
Categories
| Stat Type | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 24249 | 17146 | 41395 | 58.6% |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | 21873 | 18418 | 40291 | 54.3% |
| Total Bases | 21762 | 16400 | 38162 | 57.0% |
| Home Runs | 32796 | 4283 | 37079 | 88.4% |
| Runs | 22882 | 13413 | 36295 | 63.0% |
| RBIs | 24540 | 9537 | 34077 | 72.0% |
| Walks | 23777 | 9741 | 33518 | 70.9% |
| Singles | 17864 | 13626 | 31490 | 56.7% |
| Stolen Bases | 24914 | 2275 | 27189 | 91.6% |
| Doubles | 21900 | 4022 | 25922 | 84.5% |
| Earned Runs | 2232 | 1901 | 4133 | 54.0% |
| Hits Allowed | 2466 | 1490 | 3956 | 62.3% |
| Strikeouts Pitcher | 2011 | 733 | 2744 | 73.3% |
| Outs Recorded | 495 | 494 | 989 | 50.1% |
| Pitches Thrown | 44 | 54 | 98 | 44.9% |
Stolen Bases was our best-performing stat type at 91.6% (24914-2275). Home Runs followed at 88.4%. Pitches Thrown was the weakest at 44.9% — a stat type we'll be watching closely.
Trend
| Week | Wins | Losses | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29 | 22906 | 9930 | 32836 |
69.8%
|
| Jul 6 | 65360 | 30110 | 95470 |
68.5%
|
| Jul 13 | 34885 | 15727 | 50612 |
68.9%
|
| Jul 20 | 74051 | 36623 | 110674 |
66.9%
|
| Jul 27 | 46603 | 21143 | 67746 |
68.8%
|
Highlights
Ranked by pre-game confidence score. All picks are verified and graded automatically.
Transparency
We show our misses too. These were the highest-confidence picks that didn't hit.
MLB Season
Outlook
July's 68.2% edged above our 67.5% season average, continuing a positive trend. Our MLB model continues to analyze every prop daily — check back for August's results.
AI-analyzed MLB props updated daily.