MLB

Francisco Alvarez NYM MLB Props

Mar 2026 — May 2026 · 2064 Graded Picks
73.5%
Historical Outcome Rate
1518
Wins
2064
Total Picks

Current public props · July 16, 2026

Public preview generated . Lines can move; verify the current market before making a decision.

MarketLineModel readConfidence
Doubles0.5UNDER67
Home Runs0.5UNDER65
Walks0.5UNDER63
Singles0.5UNDER62
Runs0.5UNDER61

Confidence is directional model conviction, not a guaranteed outcome or calibrated win probability. How the model works

Performance by Stat Type

Stat Historical Outcome Rate Record
Hits 51.6% 148/287
Doubles 75.4% 212/281
RBIs 80.1% 225/281
Runs 84.3% 237/281
Singles 68.3% 192/281
Hits+Runs+RBIs 79.5% 217/273
Total Bases 70.2% 186/265
Walks 87.4% 97/111
Stolen Bases 100.0% 4/4

Recent Picks

Date Stat Pick Result
May 12 Hits OVER 0.5 WIN
May 12 Total Bases UNDER 0.5 LOSS
May 12 Hits+Runs+RBIs UNDER 1.5 LOSS
May 12 Singles UNDER 0.5 WIN
May 12 Runs UNDER 0.5 LOSS
May 12 Walks UNDER 0.5 WIN
May 12 RBIs UNDER 0.5 LOSS
May 12 Doubles UNDER 0.5 LOSS
May 12 Hits OVER 0.5 WIN
May 12 Total Bases UNDER 0.5 LOSS

Analysis powered by Propeller's sport-specific analysis system. Each prop is scored across matchup quality, injury impact, pace, usage patterns, and market odds. Historical rates summarize graded analysis rows; repeated snapshots and retrospective data may be included, so they are not a forward-tested ROI claim.

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