MLB

Aaron Nola PHI MLB Props

Mar 2026 — May 2026 · 394 Graded Picks
49.5%
Historical Outcome Rate
195
Wins
394
Total Picks

Current public props · July 16, 2026

Public preview generated . Lines can move; verify the current market before making a decision.

MarketLineModel readConfidence
Strikeouts Pitcher3.5OVER73
Strikeouts0.5OVER72
Hits Allowed0.5OVER67
Earned Runs0.5OVER65
Earned Runs2.5OVER62
Hits Allowed5OVER60

Confidence is directional model conviction, not a guaranteed outcome or calibrated win probability. How the model works

Performance by Stat Type

Stat Historical Outcome Rate Record
Strikeouts Pitcher 29.3% 34/116
Earned Runs 45.9% 51/111
Hits Allowed 76.2% 80/105
Walks Pitcher 48.4% 30/62

Recent Picks

Date Stat Pick Result
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN
May 26 Earned Runs UNDER 2.5 WIN

Analysis powered by Propeller's sport-specific analysis system. Each prop is scored across matchup quality, injury impact, pace, usage patterns, and market odds. Historical rates summarize graded analysis rows; repeated snapshots and retrospective data may be included, so they are not a forward-tested ROI claim.

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